Explained: How Praggnanandhaa can win Norway Chess in a three-way battle

R Praggnanandhaa (Photo by Michal Walusza for Norway Chess)

NEW DELHI: The Norway Chess 2026 title race is heading for a dramatic finale, with three players still in contention and just one round left to play. India’s Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu remains firmly in the hunt and will enter the final day knowing the championship is within reach.After nine rounds, Wesley So leads the standings with 15.5 points, followed by Praggnanandhaa on 15 and Alireza Firouzja on 14.5. With only one point separating the top three players, the title battle is set to go down to the final games in Oslo.Praggnanandhaa strengthened his chances with a crucial Round 9 victory over reigning World Champion D Gukesh. The Indian grandmaster capitalised on his opportunities in a tense encounter and converted his advantage convincingly, earning three valuable points that kept him just half a point behind the leader.The final-round pairing between Wesley So and Alireza Firouzja adds an intriguing twist to the championship race. Since the top two contenders, apart from Praggnanandhaa, are facing each other, the Indian star knows that a strong result in his own game could significantly boost his chances of finishing first.A classical victory for Praggnanandhaa would take him to 18 points and put immense pressure on both So and Firouzja. However, it will be difficult for the Indian Grandmaster as he will be facing Germany’s top-ranked player Vincent Keymer, who has not lost a classical game yet in the tournament. If So fails to win in classical chess against Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa would have an excellent opportunity to move ahead in the standings with a win in the classical format. Likewise, a Firouzja victory in classical could open the door for the French grandmaster, making every result critical.Even if Praggnanandhaa does not secure a classical win, he could still remain in contention through the Armageddon format. With bonus points available after drawn classical games, the final standings could be decided by the narrowest of margins.The direct clash between So and Firouzja ensures that at least one of Praggnanandhaa’s title rivals will drop points in the final round. That reality leaves the Indian grandmaster in a strong position as he prepares for the tournament’s decisive day.Based on the standings before the final round:

And with So playing Firouzja, here are the main title scenarios for Praggnanandhaa:

Praggnanandhaa wins his classical game (+3 points = 18)

Praggnanandhaa draws classical and wins Armageddon (+1.5 points = 16.5)

Pragg can win the title only if:

Praggnanandhaa draws classical and loses Armageddon (+1 point = 16)

Praggnanandhaa loses his classical game (0 points)